Three questions for your next family meeting, or your financial adviser:
- How long of a retirement should we plan to fund?
- As a couple, what is our joint life expectancy?
- As a family, how do we invest considering our collective life expectancy?
Today, I’m going to take you into the future of your retirement, your children’s retirement and your grandchildren’s retirement.
++
Retirement
If I make it to 63 then my wife will be 55. At that point, there is a 50% chance that at least once of us will last another 31 years. Here’s a calculator that you can use.
It’s worth repeating – as a couple we have a joint life expectancy of 31 years when I reach 63 years old (17 years from now). Today, my wife and I have a joint life expectancy of 47 years.
That’s a heck of a long time for inflation to act on our cost of living.
Inflation of 2.5% for 47 years brings each $10,000 of current expenditure up to $31,917.
In other words, despite being middle aged, our core cost of living is likely to triple across our lifetime.
++
Children
The joint life expectancy of my daughters (6 and 2) is 90 years. Their cost of living is going up 8-10x over their lives.
Can I insure against the risk that my surviving children run out of money late in life?
Let’s look at a case study.
At the end of last year, I was considering an expensive vacation. I couldn’t justify spending the money on myself and the calculation that follows is part of the reason.
As a family, we can make the decision to invest $10,000 per annum. There would be no impact on my quality of life.
What could it do for my children?
- $10,000 per annum, invested for 47 years, 5% rate of return is $1,781,194
- $1,781,194 invested for an additional 13 years at 5% is $3,358,707
- Over $3 million in 60 years from redirecting my vacation budget
Let’s talk in 2015 dollars. I have no idea about future inflation, let’s assume 2.5%.
- The $3.4 million will be worth a lot less in 2075 than today
- $3,358,707 discounted back to 2015 at 2.5% is $763,379
In case I’ve lost you.
- The cost is foregoing $10,000 of annual expenditure for the rest of my marriage.
- The benefit is my survivors share a 30-year retirement income with a current purchasing power of $49,658 per annum.
The payment is calculated with 5% rate of return, over 30 years, with $763,379 starting value.
It’s never “too late” for compounding to work for your family. I’m closing in on 50 and can leave a valuable form of insurance to my children by changing my current habits.
++
Grandkids
Run the exact same scenario except I have 85 years to grow the capital.
- Invest $10,000 per annum for 47 years
- Roll up for another 38 years (85 years total)
- Discount back 85 years at 2.5%
- How much income for the surviving grandkids (in retirement)?
30 years of $90,705 per annum in 2015 dollars ($1.4 million of present value, 5% rate of return).
It’s worth the effort to learn finance and tweak your wealth behaviors.
++
This post inspired by Nick Murray’s book, Behavioral Investment Counseling
Link to a google doc that let’s you tinker with my assumptions. Make a copy before editing.
You must be logged in to post a comment.